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See Schedule
Resources
Manly Chapters
11 and 12
Lesson
Description
This module introduces you to probabilistic methods
in risk assessment. The first objective of the module is to
understand the structure of a risk assessment, to know that risk
assessments consist of four parts, to know the basics of how each of
these four analyses are carried out, and to discuss some of the
shortcomings of traditional risk assessment. The second objective is
to introduce you to the use of probabilistic methods, specifically how
uncertainty can be propagated through a risk assessment using Monte
Carlo methods. The third objective is to understand how the
information on uncertainty can be used in environmental decision
making through the use of techniques in decision analysis and to
present an example of a Monte Carlo risk assessment and subsequent
decision analysis.
This week, work through the three sub-modules and review Chapter 11
and 12 in the textbook. |
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Activities To Do |
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Practice
Problems |
Work practice
problems if needed.
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Evaluation:
Homework/Exams |
Prepare for Final Exam
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Communication |
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Threaded
Discussion
Post at least one comment to each of the questions posed by
the instructor, more is better. In addition, post your own questions and
thoughts on the lesson.
Threaded Discussion
Chat
Times to be Decided.
We'll meet in the
Chat Room
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