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Travel Demand Forecasting: Example Problems

 
Cross Classification

The following cross-classification data have been developed for Beaver Dam Transportation Study Area.

($000)

HH (%)

Autos/HH (%)

Income

High

Med

Low

0

1

2

3

10

0

30

70

48

48

4

0

20

0

50

50

4

72

24

0

30

10

70

20

2

53

40

5

40

20

75

5

1

32

52

15

50

50

50

0

0

19

56

25

60

70

30

0

0

10

60

30

 

($000)

Trip Rate/Auto

Trips (%)

Income

0

1

2

3+

HBW

HBO

NHB.

10

2.0

6.0

11.5

17.0

38

34

28

20

2.5

7.5

12.5

17.5

38

34

28

30

4.0

9.0

14.0

19.0

35

34

31

40

5.5

10.5

15.5

20.5

27

35

38

50

7.5

12.0

17.0

22.0

20

37

43

60

8.0

13.0

18.0

23.0

16

40

44

Develop the family of cross classification curves and determine the number of trips produced (by purpose) for a traffic zone containing 500 houses with an average household income of $35,000. (Use high = 55,000; medium = 25,000; low = 15,000)

[Solution Shown Below]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solution

 The solution to this type of problem is best described through the use of graphs and tables.  The graphs and tables used for this problem are shown below.

Graph of Percent Households vs Average Zonal incomeGraph of Percent Households by Auto Ownership and Income

Graph of Trips per HH per day by Auto Ownership and Income

Graph of Trips by purpose and Income

Graph of Trip Rate/Auto Ownership versus Income

Income

Households (%)

HH/Zone

Total HH

 

 

 

 

 

Low $under $20,000

13

500

65

Medium $20,000-45,000

72

500

360

High $45,000-$60,000

15

500

75

100

 

500

 
Percentage of HH owning # vehicles
Auto
Ownership

Income

 

Low

Medium

High

 

0

26

3

0

1

60

63

15

2

14

32

58

3+

0

2

27

100

100

100

Trips per HH per Income Level and Auto Ownership
Auto
Ownership

Income

Low

Medium

High

0

2

3

7

1

7

8

13

2

12

13

18

3+

17

18

23

Number of HH owning # vehicles
Auto
Ownership

Income

Low

Medium

High

0

17

11

0

1

39

227

11

2

9

115

44

3+

0

7

20

65

360

75

Trips made by income level
Auto
Ownership

Income

 

Low

Medium

High

0

34

32

0

1

273

1814

146

2

109

1498

783

3+

0

130

466

 

416

3474

1395

5285

Trips by Trip Purpose %
 

Income

 

Low

Medium

High

 
HBW

38

37

18

HBO

34

34

38

NHB

28

29

44

 

100

100

100

Number of Trips by Purpose

Income

Low

Medium

High

HBW

158

1285

251

1695

HBO

141

1181

530

1853

NHB

116

1007

614

1738

Problem adapted from:
Garber, N.J. and Hoel, L.A., Traffic and Highway Engineering, Revised 2nd Edition, PWS, Pacific Grove, CA. 1999. Page 545